Wednesday, March 28, 2018

Twins 2018: Playoffs or Bust.

After the Minnesota Twins shocked the heartland by going to the American League playoffs as a wild card instead of another 90+ loss season, it's been widely assumed that this could be the start of bigger and better things for manager Paul Molitor's team.

Yes, the future looks pretty bright when you have young stars like Byron Buxton, Max Kepler and Miguel Sano on the field and at the plate, and with Trevor May. Ervin Santana and Phil Hughes on the mound.  Visions of facing someone other than the New York Yankees in the playoffs are dancing in fans' heads.  Or is that too many beers?

But then again:
  • After promising to be more active in the offseason free agent market, the Twins fell way short in the Yu Darvish sweepstakes (the pitcher eventually signed with the Chicago Cubs).  They did manage to pick up a few past-their-prime players for the right price like they usually do (pitchers Fernando Rodney and Lance Lynn, for example), when they weren't raiding the financially-strapped Tampa Bay Rays' cupboard for the likes of Logan Morrison and Jake Odorizzi.
  • The Twins couldn't get rid of Kennys Vargas or Brian Dozier, no matter how hard they tried.
  • Jorge Polanco is out for the first 80 games of the season, suspended by Major League Baseball for using performance enhancing drugs.  He won't be available for the playoffs, should the Twins be fortunate enough to be included.
  • Joe Mauer is in the last year of his contract, for better or worse.
  • Ervin Santana won't be pitching for at least a month or two due to an injury.
None of this suggests that the Twins have any chance of overtaking the Cleveland Indians for the American League Central Division crown.  They won't.  They'll finish second again, but will this time be staying home for the postseason.  There's too many teams with much better records (and more money to spend) for the Twins to remain competitive.

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Here's who we think will make it to October.

American League

East  New York Yankees
Central  Cleveland Indians
West  Houston Astros
Wild Card  Boston Red Sox and Los Angeles Angels

National League
East  Washington Nationals
Central  Chicago Cubs
West  Los Angeles Dodgers
Wild Card  St. Louis Cardinals and Milwaukee Brewers   

Wednesday, March 21, 2018

Enter Kirk Cousins, Exit Don Lucia

In what has been the most over-hyped, yet inevitable NFL quarterback free agent signings in recent Minnesota Vikings history (or at least since they got Brett Favre), the team finally got Kirk Cousins to sign on the dotted line.  For this to happen, they had to let last year's quarterback roster scatter to the winds:  Case Keenum to the Denver Broncos, Sam Bradford to the Arizona Cardinals, and Teddy Bridgewater to the New York Jets.  This is kind of risky because, if you're a team on the cusp of playing in a Super Bowl, you do not change horses in midstream unless you're forced to.  That's what happened last year when Bradford got injured after the first game of the season, leaving Keenum (who had just arrived from the Philadelphia Eagles) to take the Vikings to the NFC championship game, losing to the team he had just left.

Cousins did not have that opportunity during his years as the starter in Washington, but is expected to perform much better with an improved cast of characters in Minnesota.  The Vikings also signed Trevor Siemian from the Broncos to play backup when they could have kept Keenum, Bradford or Bridgewater to do the same job.  Depending on how the Vikings' 2018 schedule is set up (they're reportedly playing the Eagles in Philadelphia as the Thursday night season opener), Cousins will have plenty of chances to prove he's worth the money they spent on him.

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Don Lucia is stepping down after nearly two decades of being men's hockey coach at the University of Minnesota.  His resume is one of success:  Over 19 seasons with the Golden Gophers, his record was 457-248-73 (Overall, including prior stops at Alaska-Fairbanks and Colorado College, he had a 736-403-102 record in 31 years behind the bench).  His teams have won several conference championships, 13 NCAA tournament appearances, and two national titles in 2002 and 2003.

But Lucia and Minnesota became victims of the changing times in college hockey.  The Gophers switched from the Western Collegiate Hockey Association (WCHA) to the new Big Ten conference, which meant trading in traditional rivals like North Dakota and St. Cloud State for the likes of Ohio State and Michigan--football schools that have hockey programs.  They haven't made the NCAA tournament in two of the last three years, and they're hosting this year's Frozen Four in St. Paul.  And they no longer have a monopoly on Minnesota talent with St. Cloud, UMD and Minnesota State Mankato rising in prominence.

For athletic director Mark Coyle, it's nearly decision time on what to do about his coaches besides naming a replacement for Lucia.  The jury is still out on football coach P.J. Fleck, whose team finished 5-7 in his first season.  Men's basketball coach Richard Pitino, after his team made the NCAA tournament last year, finished out of the running with a squad decimated by injuries and suspensions.  Marlene Stallings would have been a good candidate to be let go had her women's basketball team not gone as far as the second round of the NCAA women's tournament.

Don Lucia deserves the credit for keeping Gophers hockey near the top for all these years.  Now it's time for another coach to keep Minnesota competitive in the ever-changing world of college hockey, and to deal with fans and alumni who want nothing less than another national championship.  It won't be easy.

UPDATE (3/28/18):  The next Gopher men's hockey coach is going to be one of Lucia's former assistants from the national championship years.  He's Bob Motzko, who until recently had been the head coach at St. Cloud State.  The Huskies have had pretty good teams under Motzko, but moving down I-94 is going to be a step up in terms of talent and expectations.  Maybe he can handle it.

College Basketball: Teams, Not Superstars, Win Titles

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